Daily analysis by FXOpen

Farabot

New Member
Gold Price Extends Rally While Crude Oil Price Might Correct Lower
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Gold price is rising and gaining pace above the $1,950 resistance. Crude oil price is declining and remains at a risk of more losses below $70.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil
  • Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,950 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • It broke a key bearish trend line with resistance near $1,945 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price started a fresh decline below the $70.50 support zone.
  • There was a break below a rising channel with support near $70.40 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price formed a base above the $1,940 support zone against the US Dollar. The price started a decent increase and was able to clear the $1,950 resistance zone.

The bulls were able to push the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,009 swing high to $1,934 low (formed on FXOpen). There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $1,945 on the hourly chart of gold.

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Gold Price Hourly Chart

The price is now trading above the $1,980 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is also above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,009 swing high to $1,934 low.

The bulls are now facing resistance near the $2,000 zone. The next key hurdle is near the $2,010 level. A clear upside break above the $2,010 resistance could send the price towards $2,040.

If there is no upside break, the price might correct lower. An immediate support on the downside is near the $1,980 level. The next major support is near the $1,970 level, below which there is a risk of a larger decline. In the stated case, the price could decline sharply towards the $1,950 support zone.

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Farabot

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GBP/USD Eyes Fresh Increase While USD/CAD Visits Key Support
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GBP/USD is showing positive signs above the 1.2200 support. USD/CAD corrected gains and now trading near a key support at 1.3720.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD
  • The British Pound started a downside correction from the 1.2340 resistance zone.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend lien with support near 1.2280 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • USD/CAD is correcting gains from the 1.3800 resistance zone.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.3730 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a fresh decline from well above 1.2320 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained bearish momentum after there was a break below the 1.2280 support.

The pair even broke the 1.2250 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend lien with support near 1.2280 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

GBPUSD-2732023.jpg

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

Finally, there was a spike below the 1.2200 level. A low is formed near 1.2190 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 1.2220 level. The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2343 swing high to 1.2190 low.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.2250 level. The first major resistance is near the 1.2265 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2343 swing high to 1.2190 low.

The next major resistance is near the 1.2300 level. Any more gains could lead the pair towards the 1.2340 barrier in the near term. If not, the pair could move down and might break the 1.2200 support. The next major support is near 1.2180.

If there is a downside break, GBP/USD might test the 1.2120 support. The next major support sits at 1.2050, where the bulls might take a stand.

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Farabot

New Member
BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 28th MAR 2023
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BTCUSD: Bearish Engulfing Pattern Below $28781

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bullish momentum last week and after touching a high of $28781 on 22nd March, the price started to correct declining against the US dollar, touching a low of $26531 on 27th Mar.

We have seen a bearish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a bearish engulfing pattern below the $28781 handle which is a bearish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of an uptrend and a shift towards a downtrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday high of 27238 in the Asian trading session, and an intraday low of 26837 in the European trading session today.

The commodity channel index is giving a bearish divergence signal in the weekly time frame.

Both the STOCH and Williams percent range are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The Ichimoku price is under the cloud in the weekly time frame indicating a bearish trend.

The relative strength index is at 38.03 indicating a weak demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the selling pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly simple moving average and above its 100 hourly exponential moving average.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a sell signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 26000 and 25500.

The average true range is indicating less market volatility with a bearish momentum.
  • Bitcoin: bearish reversal seen below $28781.
  • The RSI remains below 50 indicating a bearish market.
  • The price is now trading below its pivot levels of $26998.
  • The short-term range is strongly BEARISH.

Bitcoin: Bearish Reversal Seen Below $28781
BTCUSD-2832023.png


The price of Bitcoin was unable to cross the $29000 handle and we can see a sharp drop in the price which is now ranging below the $27000 level.

We are expecting more downsides in the range of $26000 and $25500 after which some market consolidation can be seen.

We can see the formation of the moving average bearish crossover pattern with the adaptive moving averages AMA50 and AMA100 in the daily time frame.

We have also detected the formation of a bearish Harami pattern in the 1-hour time frame.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bearish, the medium-term outlook has turned bearish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $25261 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 4-week high, and at $26013 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 70%.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic support level of 26880 and Fibonacci support level of 26966 after which the path towards 26000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has decreased by 3.75% by 1045.42$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 18.647 billion. We can see an increase of 28.44% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

We can see that bitcoin has changed tracks and is now moving under a continuous bearish pressure below the $27000 level.

The immediate target expected is $26000 after which we can see some consolidation in the zone of $25500 level.

The daily RSI is printing at 57.25 which indicates a neutral demand for bitcoin and the shift towards the consolidation phase in the medium-term range.

We can see the formation of a bearish trend line from $28781 towards the $26647 level.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone located at $27966 which is a 38.2% retracement from its 52-week low, and at $28029 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $26000 with a consolidation zone of $25500.

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Farabot

New Member
EUR/USD Gains Bullish Momentum While USD/CHF Eyes Recovery
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EUR/USD started a major increase above the 1.0800 resistance. USD/CHF is rising and might aim more gains above the 0.9220 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF
  • The Euro started a fresh increase from the 1.0720 support against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key rising channel forming with support near 1.0830 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • USD/CHF started a fresh increase above the 0.9150 resistance zone.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.9175 on the hourly chart.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis

After a steady decline, the Euro found support near the 1.0720 zone against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair formed a base above the 1.0720 level and started a fresh increase.

There was a clear move above the 1.0750 and 1.0760 resistance levels. The pair was able to clear the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0929 swing high to 1.0713 low (formed on FXOpen). It is now trading above the 1.0800 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

EURUSD-2932023.jpg

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

An immediate resistance is near the 1.0850 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0929 swing high to 1.0713 low.

The next major resistance is near the 1.0880 level. A clear move above the 1.0880 resistance zone could send the pair further higher towards 1.0920. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards the 1.1000 level.

If there is no move above 1.0850 recovery, the pair might start a fresh decline. On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.0830 level. There is also a key rising channel forming with support near 1.0830 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

The next major support is near the 1.0800 level. A downside break below the 1.0800 support could start steady decline towards the 1.0750 level.

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Farabot

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Trading hours schedule for Ching Ming Festival
FXOpen-trading-hours.png


Dear Traders,

Please note that due to the Ching Ming Festival on 5 April, 2023, trading hours will be changed as follows (all times are GMT+3):

#HSI (Hong Kong 50)
  • Tuesday, April 4: trading until 22:00;
  • Wednesday, April 5: trading closed;
  • Thursday, April 6: 04:15 – 22:00.
  • All other financial markets will be traded without changes.
Please consider this information as you plan your trading and note that the hours above are subject to change.

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Farabot

New Member
ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 30th MAR, 2023

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ETHUSD: Bullish HARAMI Pattern Above $1687

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum, and after touching a low of $1687 on 27th Mar, the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar touching a high of $1829 today in the Asian trading session.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

The price of Ethereum is ranging near a new record high of 1 month.

We can clearly see a bullish Harami pattern above the $1687 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of 1798 and is moving into a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1803 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1806 after which the path towards 1850 will get cleared.

We can see the formation of both bullish Harami and bullish Harami cross patterns in the 2-hour time frame.

The relative strength index is at 53.40 indicating a strong demand for Ether and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are giving a neutral signal, which means that the prices are expected to enter into a consolidation phase in the short-term range.

Some of the technical indicators are giving a buy market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a buy signal at the current market levels of $1800.

ETH is now trading above both the 200 hourly simple and 200 hourly exponential moving averages.
  • Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1687 mark.
  • The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish.
  • ETH continues to remain above the $1750 level.
  • The average true range is indicating high market volatility.
Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1687

ETHUSD is now testing to cross the $1900 levels and the current momentum suggests that we are now moving towards the $1850 level.

We can see the formation of bullish engulfing lines in the weekly time frame.

The price is back over the pivot point in the weekly time frame indicating bullish trends.

We can see the formation of moving average bullish crossover patterns MA20 and MA50 in the 4-hourly time frame.

We have also seen an upside gap in the 15-minute timeframe which indicates the bullish nature of the markets.

ETHUSD touched an intraday high of 1829 and an intraday low of 1774 in the Asian trading session today.

The key support levels to watch are $1744, at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average stalls, and $1769 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average.

ETH has decreased by 0.92% with a price change of 16.80$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 9.457 billion USD.

We can see a decrease of 6.37% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

ETH is facing stiff resistance at crossing the $1850 handle after which the next visible targets are located at $1900 and $1950.

We can see the formation of a major bullish trend line with the support located at $1679 at which the price crosses the 18-day moving average.

We can see the formation of a bullish ascending channel from $1687 towards the $1852 level.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral under present market conditions.

The resistance zone is located at $1830 which is a pivot point 1st resistance point and at $1913 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 52-week low.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1950 with a consolidation zone of $1900.

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Farabot

New Member
AUD/USD and NZD/USD Could Gain Bullish Momentum
AUDUSD-3132023.jpg


AUD/USD started a fresh increase above the 0.6700 resistance zone. NZD/USD is rising and might aim a move above the 0.6300 resistance.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD
  • The Aussie Dollar started a fresh increase above the 0.6700 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6692 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
  • NZD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6250 resistance zone.
  • There was a clear move above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6265 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6620 and started a decent increase against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair gained pace for a move above the 0.6650 resistance.

The pair even moved above the 0.6685 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6692 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. The bulls were able to pump the pair above 0.6720 and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

AUDUSD-3132023.png

AUD/USD Hourly Chart
A high is formed near 0.6737 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains. On the downside, an initial support is near the 0.6720 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 0.6661 swing low to 0.6737 high.

The next support could be the 0.6700 level or the 50 hourly simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 0.6661 swing low to 0.6737 high.

If there is a downside break below the 0.6700 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.6650 level. On the upside, the AUD/USD pair is facing resistance near the 0.6740 level. The next major resistance is near the 0.6780 level.

A close above the 0.6780 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.6850.

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Farabot

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GBP/USD And GBP/JPY Aims More Upsides
GBPUSD-342023.jpg


GBP/USD climbed higher above the 1.2200 resistance zone. GBP/JPY could rise further if there is a clear move above the 165.70 resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY
  • The British Pound is moving higher above 1.2300 against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.2180 on the daily chart of GBP/USD.
  • GBP/JPY is showing a lot of bullish signs above the 162.50 support.
  • There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near 162.65 on the daily chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound formed a base above the 1.1800 zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair started a steady increase above the 1.2000 resistance zone.

There was a clear move above the 1.2120 resistance zone and the 50-day simple moving average. The pair even climbed above the 1.2200 resistance. There was a was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.2180 on the daily chart of GBP/USD.

GBPUSD-342023.png

GBP/USD Daily Chart

The pair even broke the 1.2350 level. A high is formed near 1.2420 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains.

An immediate support is near the 1.2180. It is near the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1802 swing low to 1.2418 high. The next major support is near the 1.2120 and 1.2100 levels.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1802 swing low to 1.2418 high is also near the 1.2100 zone. If there is a break below the 1.2100 support, the pair could test the 1.2000 support.

Any more losses might send GBP/USD towards 1.1920. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.2440 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.2500 level, above which the pair could start a steady increase towards 1.2750.

An upside break above 1.2750 might start a fresh increase towards 1.2800. Any more gains might call for a move towards 1.2880 or even 1.2950.

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Farabot

New Member
#MarketNews #Cryptocurrency

ELON MUSK CHANGES TWITTER ICON

Quite unexpectedly, but now on the twitter.com website, instead of the usual blue bird, a dog flaunts — a symbol of the Dogecoin cryptocurrency, to which Musk has long been partial.

Not surprisingly, the DOGEUSD rate soared by 30%, but the rest of the coins reacted sluggishly. The chart of capitalization of all cryptocurrencies shows that its current values are near the descending parallel channel line (1), which technically should serve as resistance. Which is confirmed by the dynamics of the candles, because after a stormy rally in mid-March, the prices of cryptocurrencies stabilized just on the way to this line. Apparently, in order to overcome it, the bulls need more weighty arguments than changing the icon on the social network.

To take advantage of trends in the cryptocurrency markets, consider enlisting the services of a reliable broker like FXOpen. (http://fxopen.com/)

FXOpen-telegram.jpg


CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

Cryptocurrency CFDs are not available to Retail clients in the UK.


Source: FXOpen Telegram channel

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Farabot

New Member
GBP soars against the Japanese Yen despite low rates remaining in place
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Japan's economy has been regarded ever since the 1960s as an absolute lesson in socio-economic advancement to the extent that the entire world views Japanese products, cuisine, intellect and culture among the most enviable globally.

One particular Japanese motor manufacturer has used the slogan "The relentless pursuit of perfection" in its marketing to Western customers, and Japan's contribution to science, technology and consumer lifestyle trappings has been enormous for over six decades now.

Japan is in the top 3 economies by nominal GDP, after the United States and China, and the fourth-largest economy by PPP (purchasing power parity). In 2020, Japan was ranked eighth among the countries with the largest labour force, having 66.5 million workers.

The Yen, Japan's sovereign currency, may have experienced a lot of volatility over recent times, and there is no doubt that it has faced competition from even larger nations such as China and India, which are rapidly becoming huge tours de force in their own right, China's economy being by very far the largest in the world, and neighbouring nations in the Asia Pacific region such as Thailand and South Korea being homes to some very high volume manufacturing of everything from televisions and kitchen appliances to motor vehicles.

Japan remains utterly focused on its core industries, and its export market is as buoyant as ever; however, there have been a lot of metrics that show lower capacity and a country that has struggled with high costs compared to that of its neighbours.

On April 5th, the central bank of Japan published data reflecting that the country's economic output was below full capacity for the 11th consecutive quarter from October to December 2022, so the BOJ will unlikely end its ultra-low interest rates policy.

The British Pound rose considerably against the Yen late last week in the advent of such figures, showing that investors and traders expected such an outcome.

This morning, the depreciation of the Yen against western majors, including the Pound, has slowed, and the Pound is trading at 164.10 to the Yen.

PTWOTkq1.png


However, looking at the Yen value in the latter part of last month, things were quite different. On March 24th, the Pound was trading at 159.8 against the Yen, so today's value still represents a high point against the Yen for the British Pound.

According to the BOJ, in Q4 2022, the country's output gap widened from -0.08% in July-September and reached -0.43%.

Japan soldiers on, and its reputation as a bastion of quality, combined with social and cultural sophistication, is unblemished. Its industry is as high quality as ever; however, there are clearly some items with regard to monetary policy and fending off stiff competition in the region which are of concern and are continuing to cause the Yen to be volatile.

Trade global forex with the best ECN broker of 2021*. Choose from 50+ forex markets 24/5. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about making your money go further with FXOpen.

* FXOpen International, best ECN broker of 2021, according to the IAFT

Gary Thomson

Gary Thomson is the Chief Operating Officer at FXOpen UK. Having spent over 20 years of his career working in financial services, Gary is renowned for his expert market analysis and commentary.


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Farabot

New Member
LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 06th APR, 2023
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LTCUSD – Bullish Harami Pattern Is Above $86.64


LTCUSD642023.png


Bears couldn't pull the market further down last week, and after touching a low of $86.64 on 30th March, the prices started to correct upwards against the US Dollar, touching a high of $94.91 on 03rd April.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

We can see a bullish harami pattern above the $86.64 handle. It signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the market.

The price of Litecoin is near the channel's support, indicating upcoming bullish movement. Also, Litecoin is trading above its 100-hour simple moving average and 100-hour exponential moving average, and it's above the pivot level of $92.93.

The relative strength index is at $52.50, indicating a neutral demand for Litecoin and a shift towards the market consolidation phase.

The prices of Litecoin continue to remain above some of the moving averages, which are giving a bullish signal at current market levels of $90.65

Both the Williams percent range and commodity channel index are signalling neutral market conditions, which means that the price is expected to remain in a consolidation phase in the short-term range.

The short-term outlook for Litecoin has turned mildly bullish.
  • Some of the technical indicators are giving a bullish signal.
  • Litecoin bullish reversal is seen above the $86.64 level.
  • The RSI gives a neutral signal.
  • The average true range indicates low market volatility.
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Farabot

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GBP/USD And GBP/JPY Could Aim for Another Increase

GBPUSD-742023.png


GBP/USD started a downside correction from the 1.2520 resistance zone. GBP/JPY is rising and might aim for more upsides above the 164.00 resistance.


Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY
  • The British Pound failed to break above the 1.2520 resistance and corrected lower against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2460 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • GBP/JPY is slowly moving higher from the 163.00 zone.
  • There is a key rising channel forming with support near 163.75 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound formed a base above the 1.2400 line against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair started a steady increase above the 1.2425 resistance.

There was a move above the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.2460. It resulted in a break above the 1.2500 level. However, the bears were active near the 1.2520 resistance zone. A high was formed near 1.2525, and the pair started a downside correction.

GBPUSD-742023.png


There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2274 swing low to the 1.2525 high. GBP/USD even settled below the 50-hour simple moving average.

The previous resistance at 1.2425 is now acting as a support. The next major support is near the 1.2400 level, which coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2274 swing low to the 1.2525 high.

If there is a break below the 1.2400 support, the pair will substantially decline. In the stated case, there is a risk of a drop toward the 1.2330 level or the 1.2274 low in the coming days.

Conversely, the pair might attempt a fresh increase from the 1.2425 support. Resistance on the upside is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.2455. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2460 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

A close above the trend line resistance could stage a fresh increase. The hourly RSI is also moving higher and approaching 50, above which it might signal a decent increase. The next major resistance is near the 1.2500 level, above which the pair could revisit the 1.2520 resistance region. Any more gains might call for a move toward 1.2600.

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Last edited:

Farabot

New Member
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Aims Fresh Increase While EUR/JPY Eyes More Upsides
EURUSD-1042023.png


EUR/USD is consolidating above the key 1.0880 support zone. EUR/JPY is rising and might rally further if it clears the 145.40 resistance zone.


Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY
  • The Euro started a downside correction from the 1.0970 zone.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.0910 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
  • EUR/JPY started a steady increase after it found support near 142.50.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 144.20 on the hourly chart.


    EUR/USD Technical Analysis

    On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the Euro remained well-bid above the 1.0880 zone and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. EUR/USD was able to break above the 1.0920 resistance level.

    The pair tested the 1.0970 zone before it started a correction. There was a break below the 1.0920 level, but the bulls were active near the key 1.0880 support. A low is formed at 1.0876, and the pair is now consolidating.

    EURUSD-1042023.png


    Immediate resistance is near the 1.0910 level. Besides, there is a key bearish trendline forming with resistance near 1.0910. The trendline is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0937 swing high to the 1.0876 low.

    The next major resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level at 1.0925. A clear move above the 1.0925 level might send the pair toward the 1.0970 level. Any more gains could set the pace for a test of 1.1000.

    On the downside, the pair might find support near the 1.0880 level. The next major support sits near the 1.0820 level, below which the pair could even test the 1.0790 support zone.

    If there is a downside break below the 1.0790 support, the pair might accelerate lower in the coming days. In the stated case, it could even test 1.0720.

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Technical Analysis on USDJPY: Are Bulls Trying to Revive the Long-Term Trend?
USDJPY-1142023.jpg


The USDJPY yesterday reached its highs of several weeks.

This was facilitated by:

- a statement by the new head of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, who made it clear that there is no need to rush to curtail the stimulus policy;

- Friday's US employment report, which strengthened expectations of the Fed's interest rate hike in May. Unemployment fell to 3.5%, indicating the strength of the labour market. Trading on Tuesday, futures on the dollar index opened with a bullish gap;

- US commercial bank deposits rose towards the end of March for the first time in about a month, a sign that the banking crisis is easing and the dollar is regaining confidence.

The USDJPY weekly chart may give the idea that the bulls are trying to revive a long-term uptrend from the support line (1). However, for this it is necessary to overcome the resistance (2) around 133.75, the level can serve as an indicator of the real strength of demand.

FXOpen-telegram-channel.jpg


This forecast represents FXOpen Companies’ opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation, or recommendation with respect to FXOpen Companies’ products and services or as financial advice.

Trade global forex with the Innovative Broker of 2022*. Choose from 50+ forex markets 24/5. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about making your money go further with FXOpen.

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Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.


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Technical Analysis for April 12: GBP/USD Starts Fresh Increase While EUR/GBP Eyes Upside Break
GBPUSD-1242023.jpg


GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2400 resistance zone. EUR/GBP is struggling and facing resistance near 0.8790.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP
  • The British Pound started a fresh increase above the 1.2400 barrier against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trendline with resistance near 1.2410 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • EUR/GBP is struggling to break the 0.8790 resistance zone.
  • There is a major bullish trendline forming with support near 0.8770 on the EUR/GBP hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound saw a downside correction below the 1.2400 support against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair tested the 1.2345 zone before the bulls took a stand.

GBPUSD-1242023.png


On the hourly chart at FXOpen, a low was formed near 1.2344, and the pair started a fresh increase. There was a clear move above the 1.2400 resistance zone. More importantly, there was a break above a key bearish trendline with resistance near 1.2410.

The pair traded at 1.2456 and settled above the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a minor downside correction below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2027 swing low to the 1.2205 high.

However, the pair remained well-bid above the 50% Fib retracement level at 1.2400.

If there is a downside break below the 1.2400 support, there is a risk of a sharp decline. In the stated case, GBP/USD may revisit the 1.2355 support. Any more losses could lead the pair toward 1.2300.

On the upside, resistance is near the 1.2355 level, above which the pair might resume its increase (considering the RSI is above 50). The next major resistance is near the 1.2520 level. A clear move above 1.2520 could trigger a rally toward 1.2600.

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Fundamental Analysis on April 13: USDCAD Is Approaching an Important Support Level
USDCAD-1342023.jpg


A short digest of the fresh and saturated news background:

- Inflation in the US coincided with analysts' expectations. Core CPI was 5.6% in annual terms. The main problem for suppressing inflation is the rise in prices for energy resources (oil has updated the maximum of the year). According to Bloomberg, the union of Russia and Saudi Arabia in the oil market can create problems in this regard.

- Minutes of the Fed meeting showed that officials expect a mild recession.

- The ECB believes that inflation has become more extensive in Europe, but the lion's share of increases is already behind.

- The Bank of Canada left the rate unchanged at 4.5%, expecting a fall in inflation, but is ready for further increases if necessary.

Reacting to the above and other important news, the US dollar index fell to the lows of the year on the foreign exchange market. Accordingly, the euro, pound and Canadian dollar strengthened. The latter forms a pattern that attracts attention.

On the USDCAD chart, we can observe a narrowing triangle (1-2), indicating the balance of supply and demand. The breakdown of the (3) triangle in March turned out to be false. By its behaviour, the market suggests that the true exit from the triangle will take place in a bearish direction. And this could be the beginning of a long-term downtrend.

USDCAD-1342023.png


This forecast represents FXOpen Companies’ opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation, or recommendation with respect to FXOpen Companies’ products and services or as financial advice.

Trade global forex with the Innovative Broker of 2022*. Choose from 50+ forex markets 24/5. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about making your money go further with FXOpen.

* FXOpen International, Innovative Broker of 2022, according to the IAFT

FXOpen

FXOpen is a global forex and CFD broker, with a network of worldwide brokerages regulated by the FCA, CySEC and ASIC. FXOpen offers ECN, STP, Micro and Crypto trading accounts (dependent on entity).

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Farabot

New Member
Technical Analysis on April 14, 2023: Gold Price Inches Higher While WTI Crude Oil Aims Fresh Increase

GOLD-1442023.jpg


Gold price is rising and trading above the $2,030 resistance. WTI is consolidating and might aim for a fresh increase above $83.25.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil
  • Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,020 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • A key bullish trend line is forming with support near $2,030 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
  • Crude oil price also gained pace and was able to climb above the $82.00 resistance.
  • There is a key contracting triangle forming with support near $82.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base above the $1,990 support zone against the US Dollar. The price started a decent increase and was able to clear the $2,000 resistance zone.

GOLD-1442023.png


The upward move gained pace above the $2,020 and $2,030 resistance levels. Finally, the bears appeared near $2,050. A high is formed at $2,048, and the price is now consolidating gains.

Initial support on the downside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $2,001 swing low to the $2,048 high. The first major support is forming near a key bullish trend line at $2,030.

If there is a downside break below the trend line, the price might slide toward the 50-hour simple moving average at $2,025. The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the $2,001 swing low to the $2,048 high at $2,020.

On the upside, the bulls are facing resistance near $2,048. An upside break above the $2,048 resistance could send the price toward $2,060. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $2,080 level.

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Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.


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Analisis Teknis pada 17 April 2023: GBP/USD Mengoreksi Kenaikan Sementara USD/CAD Mengincar Pemulihan

GBPUSD-1742023.jpg


GBP
/USD menghadapi resistensi di dekat 1,2540 dan memulai koreksi penurunan. USD/CAD pulih dan mungkin mendapatkan kecepatan jika menembus resistensi 1,3370.

Catatan Penting untuk GBP/USD dan USD/CAD
  • British Pound memulai koreksi turun di bawah zona 1,2500.
  • Terjadi penembusan di bawah garis tren bullish utama dengan support di 1,2455 pada grafik per jam GBP/USD di FXOpen.
  • USD/CAD turun di bawah level support 1,3450 dan 1,3400.
  • Garis tren bearish utama terbentuk dengan resistance di dekat 1.3370 pada grafik per jam di FXOpen.

Analisis Teknis GBP/USD

Pada grafik per jam GBP/USD di FXOpen, pasangan ini mampu naik di atas zona resistensi 1,2455. Namun, bear aktif di dekat zona 1,2540.

Akibatnya, pasangan memulai koreksi sisi bawah di bawah garis tren bullish utama dengan support di 1,2455. Akhirnya, melonjak di bawah support 1,2400. Titik terendah terbentuk di dekat 1,2383 dan pasangan ini sekarang mengkonsolidasikan penurunan.

GBPUSD-1742023.jpg


Resistensi langsung terbentuk di dekat level retracement Fib 23,6% dari pergerakan turun dari swing high 1,2545 ke low 1,2383 di 1,2425.

Resisten berikutnya dekat 1,2455 (zona tembus baru-baru ini). Dengan penembusan sisi atas di atas zona 1,2455, pasangan ini bisa naik menuju rata-rata pergerakan sederhana 50 jam di 1,2485. Itu bertepatan dengan level retracement Fib 61,8% dari pergerakan turun dari swing high 1,2545 ke low 1,2383.

Penembusan sisi atas di atas resistensi 1,2485 dapat mengirim pasangan ini menuju 1,2540. Kenaikan lebih lanjut dapat membuka pintu untuk pengujian 1,2600.

Pada sisi negatifnya, support awal berada di dekat area 1,2400. Support utama berikutnya berada di dekat level 1,2345. Jika ada penembusan di bawah 1,2345, pasangan ini bisa memperpanjang penurunannya. Support utama berikutnya berada di dekat level 1,2300. Kerugian lebih lanjut mungkin memerlukan pengujian dukungan 1,2250.


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Technical Analysis on April 17, 2023: GBP/USD Corrects Gains While USD/CAD Eyes Recovery

GBPUSD-1742023.jpg


GBP/USD faced resistance near 1.2540 and started a downside correction. USD/CAD is recovering and might gain pace if it clears the 1.3370 resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD
  • The British Pound started a downside correction below the 1.2500 zone.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.2455 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  • USD/CAD declined below the 1.3450 and 1.3400 support levels.
  • A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near 1.3370 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair was able to climb above the 1.2455 resistance zone. However, the bears were active near the 1.2540 zone.

As a result, the pair started a downside correction below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.2455. Finally, it spiked below the 1.2400 support. A low is formed near 1.2383 and the pair is now consolidating losses.

GBPUSD-1742023.jpg


Immediate resistance is forming near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2545 swing high to the 1.2383 low at 1.2425.

The next resistance is near 1.2455 (the recent breakdown zone). With an upside break above the 1.2455 zone, the pair could rise toward the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.2485. It coincides with the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2545 swing high to the 1.2383 low.

An upside break above the 1.2485 resistance might send the pair toward 1.2540. Any more gains might open the doors for a test of 1.2600.

On the downside, initial support is near the 1.2400 area. The next major support is near the 1.2345 level. If there is a break below 1.2345, the pair could extend its decline. The next key support is near the 1.2300 level. Any more losses might call for a test of the 1.2250 support.

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Technical Analysis on April 18, 2023: BTCUSD Formed a Bullish Spinning Top Pattern above $29,138
BTCUSD-1842023a.jpg


Bitcoin continues its bullish momentum from last week, and after touching a low of $29,138 on April 18, it moved towards a consolidation phase, after which we expect an upward movement to the $30,500-$32,000 range.


BTCUSD-1842023.png


The market opened bullish this week. There is a bullish spinning top pattern above the $29,138 handle on the H1 timeframe.

Bitcoin continues to move up in a mild bullish momentum and is now aiming to cross the $30,000 psychological barrier.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are in overbought zones, meaning that a decline in the price is expected in the immediate short term.

Bitcoin continues to range near a new 1-year high in the weekly timeframe.

The relative strength index is at 63.29, indicating a strong demand for Bitcoin and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving above the 100-hour exponential and 200-hour exponential moving averages.

Most of the major technical indicators are bullish; the targets for the immediate short term are $30,500 and $32,000.

The average true range indicates low market volatility with mild bullish momentum.
  • Bitcoin bullish continuation is seen above $29,138.
  • The RSI remains above 50, indicating a bullish market.
  • The price is now trading above its pivot level of $29,926.
  • The short-term range is mildly bullish.

Some major technical indicators signal that the price may move to $30,500 and $31,500 soon.

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